Cynthia, you’re right about the demographics but one of the things that is often forgotten is how can a massive state like California, with a lot of arable land, natural resouces, beautiful climate, etc. and hence great potential for affordable family formation turn into a third world state? California was the embodiment of the American Dream for so long. The answer IMHO is due in large part to a moral collapse. This doesn’t mean simply no-fault divorce or gay marriage, but the fundamental immorality in having people vote themselves largesse from the common treasury. California’s legislature has been at the forefront of doling out goodies in order to buy votes, not only to the natives but to the illegal aliens who were used by the elites to undercut the native working class. It’s all come due now.
That’s why all of the states neighboring California are doing marginally better even in this economy. (In fact, the majority of the nation’s unemployment is found in California.) Texas, which has roughly the same demographic as California, is doing much better. The question is will it continue to do so? In other words, how long will Texas and other states like it remain “red”?
I don’t mean to be polical, but it appears that there are two types of states that are consistently “blue”: those that are in the northern tier of states which are heavily Lutheran and white (i.e. very little black/hispanic populations) or those that are very heavily minority. Examples of the former include Wisconsin and Minnesota or those in the nascent 3rd-world catogory: Michigan, California, New York State, Illinois, and Washington DC.
The former states can afford to be liberal with state largesse because there’s little downside to it, plus they’re still informed by a Christian-progressive viewpoint. The 3rd-world states (Michigan, Illinois) have to be generous with their monies because they’re trapped in a downward spiral of economic collapse. Basically, they’re just hoping to stave off the inevitable.
As for the red states, they’ll turn blue once the same demographic trends take over in them. One thing that may stop them however is an equillibrium that has been taking place the last thirty years, and that is that the more productive people are leaving the heavily regulated states. This is intensifying in the present recession. You see this with high-profile people like Donald Trump and Tom Golisano leaving New York for Florida but it’s being multiplied a thousand-fold by much more inconspicuous professionals and middle-managers who are following the high-rollers.
The breaking point however for all states is illegal immigration, which opens up a whole other can of worms.
]]>(GDP per capita / GDP_per_capita_ten_years_ago_in_inflation_adjusted_dollars) *
((life expectancy / life_expectancy_ten_years_ago)^10)
Our first project is good long life and better for our kids than us: is our overall life expectancy holding steady or increasing?
Our second project (like, to the tenth power ‘second’, not like, ‘closer to you than the back of your underwear is to your skin second’) is economic productivity.
The formula indicates that any gains to our life excpectancy quickly outwieghs economic gains, but if we are holding our own in life then more economic satisfaction is better.
]]>Yeah, I have to protest on behalf of the Mexicans. No wonder they want to come to the US.
Isa-from Chicago.
New Jersey for Russia, and DC for just about anything.
And if we could get Saudi Arabia for say, Massachusetts…
…then we could just give away California & Illinois..if they would just take the politicians that come with them.
LOL
Dean
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